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Jeanne - 23 September 2004
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Posted by:Sep 23rd 2004, 07:01:46 pm
Fig Tree News TeamAs of 5:00 PM EST today, little has changed with Hurricane Jeanne. The storm is still on a course for landfall in the Fort Pierce area. Pompano Beach is expected to experience tropical storm force winds in the 50 to 60 mph range. Gusts can be expected to be at hurricane strength from time to time. The NHC is currently forecasting that we should begin experiencing Jeanne sometime Saturday afternoon with the strongest part of the storm early Sunday morning. By Monday the storm event should be over. Hurricane Jeanne is moving at 8 mph currently and expected to speed up to 10 to 12 mph. This means that, unlike Frances, the storm will move quickly through the area and be gone. Less rain is also expected than we saw with Frances. The most important concern at this time, however, is that Jeanne could turn southwest and come straight at us. This would move all timetables up by 6 hours. This is considered an unlikely possibility, but a real one never-the-less. We will know more in the morning. Please plan for a major event to be on the safe side. I will update everyone in the morning.

TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

5 PM EDT THU SEP 23 2004
...JEANNE MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST...

...EXPECTED TO TURN WESTWARD BY FRIDAY...
Posted by:Sep 23rd 2004, 09:47:00 am
Fig Tree News TeamPosted on Thu, Sep. 23, 2004

Miami Herald
Florida, the Bahamas placed on alert for Hurricane Jeanne

By MARTIN MERZER
mmerzer@herald.com

Forecasters issued a tropical storm watch for the central Bahamas and alerted residents of South and Central Florida this morning as Hurricane Jeanne edged closer to the area. They predicted landfall somewhere in Florida -- possibly South Florida -- by Sunday.

If so, Jeanne would become the fourth hurricane to strike the state during this deadly, destructive and freakish hurricane season.

''It would be no surprise to see Jeanne reach major hurricane status in 48 to 72 hours . . .,'' said forecasters Jack Beven of the National Hurricane Center in West Miami-Dade County. ``Given the forecast of the steering currents, Florida should pay close attention to the evolution of Jeanne.''

He said the storm, already responsible for more than 1,000 deaths, mostly in Haiti, was expected to begin a steady approach toward the Bahamas and Florida.

This morning's official forecast showed the core of a Category 2 hurricane, with 110 mph winds, coming dangerously close to the area between Palm Beach and Vero Beach -- the same region struck by Hurricane Frances early this month -- veering north and making landfall around Cape Canaveral.

Forecasters emphasized, however, that such forecasts constantly change, that Florida's entire East Coast was in danger of a direct hit, and that Jeanne's outlying effects were likely to reach much of the state.

The local forecast for South Florida called for increasingly cloudiness and rain Friday night, with heavy rain and wind Saturday and Saturday night.

High surf and riptides already are sweeping South Florida's coastline, mostly in Palm Beach and Broward counties, and beach erosion has been reported.

At 5 a.m EDT, a tropical storm watch was issued for the central Bahamas, including Cat Island, the Exumas, Long Island, Rum Cay and San Salvador. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area within 36 hours. Forecasters said a hurricane watch could be required for the northwestern Bahamas later today.

Meanwhile, Ivan returned -- call it Ivan2.

A resilient piece of Hurricane Ivan, the storm that viciously assaulted the Gulf Coast last week, looped over the Atlantic, passed over Florida, returned to the Gulf of Mexico, redeveloped into a tropical storm Wednesday and was punching the Louisiana and upper Texas Gulf Coasts with rain and wind this morning.

The center of reborn Tropical Storm Ivan was expected to make landfall near the Texas-Louisiana border tonight.

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