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Tropical Storm Claudette Advisory
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Page 1 of 1Total of 4 messages
Posted by:Jul 11th 2003, 08:03:33 pm
Fig Tree News Team7/11/2003, courtesy of Barometer Bob

WEATHER SYNOPSIS AND CONDITIONS

The E to W ridge will remain nearly stationary through N’ern FL until early tomorrow at which time the W’ern end of the ridge will drop S’ward some to near Cape Canaveral and stabilize through Saturday. On Sunday and Monday, it is expected to move somewhat more N’ward to near the FL/GA border but still controlling our weather. Claudette has not yet become a hurricane as feared and in my opinion will continue as a tropical storm passing over the Yucatan Peninsular today headed for the Texas coast but it could become a hurricane before reaching Texas with the open water there. See TROPICAL WEATHER.

LOCAL WEATHER

We are living in such stable weather that not much is going to happen here except for a slow clocking of the wind into the SE to S. For today through Monday, the wind will be E to SE at 10 to 15 knots with 4 to 6 feet seas well into the ocean in decreasing E’ly swells.. The skies should clear as the influence of Claudette has passed. That means “Sun Block” as the sun will be intense. The high temperature will be near 87 degrees with a low nightly temperature of 82 degrees or so. The humidity will return to the low 70’s to high 60’s today by noon. The barometer is 1019.6 mb or 30.11 in and steady.

The only change expected for tomorrow through Tuesday is that the wind will loose some of its E’ly tendency and become SE to S with seas around 4 feet. The S’ly component may not come into play until you get a little N of the islands early in the period. All other weather features will remain essentially the same, just one beautiful day after another.

TIDES

Today - - High: 6:36 AM 2.4 FT, Low: 1231 PM -0.1 FT, High: 7:12 PM 3.3 FT

Saturday - - High: 7:34 AM 2.5 FT, Low: 1:29 PM -0.1 FT, High: 8:08 PM 3.3 FT

Sunday - - High: 8:29 AM 2.5 FT, Low: 2:25 PM -0.2 FT, High: 9:01 PM 3.3 FT

FLORIDA PASSAGE CONDITIONS

For today through tomorrow, , the winds will be SE at 10 to 15 knots with seas 2 to 4 feet but likely to drop some by Saturday to SE at 5 to 10 knots with 1 to 3 foot seas.. On Saturday through Tuesday the winds will pick back up to 10 to 15 knots from the SE until Sunday when they will become E through Tuesday with seas around 2 to 4. There is a chance of scattered showers and t-storms each day but the expectation is slight It looks like a good crossing for all of you over here for the regatta.

TRAVELING FORECAST

The winds will be SE at 10 to 15 knots with seas around 3 to 4 feet. On N’ward, the winds will clock to the S to SW and follow the coastline contour all the while staying around 10 to 15 knots with 3 to 4 foot seas but increasing to as high as 20 knots as you pass GA and SC if you are very far offshore. Cape Hatteras winds are very well behaved now unless you choose to go too far offshore. N of Hatteras the winds will back into the S and stay 10 to 15 knots with reasonable seas. These conditions will continue through DEL. Beyond that, you are on your own.

From here to Nassau, the weather will stay much as we see here but S of Nassau the winds will back into the E and increase to 15 to 20 knots with 7 foot seas. Further S, approaching the Windward Passage, expect the winds to be E to SE at near 20 knots with seas around 7 to 8 feet. Things should be back to the normal with E winds at 15 knots in the next day or so.

TROPICAL WEATHER

Tropical Storm Claudette is still a strong tropical storm with winds around 70 mph. She is located a little SE of the Yucatan Peninsular and is expected to arrive there before noon today. She has maximum sustained winds of 70 mph and is moving NW at 14 mph.. It looks like she is headed for the Texas coastline between Corpus Christi and Austin. She may make it to hurricane force by then but there is some doubt about that.
The intense tropical wave what I saw yesterday off Africa has weakened and looks like it is being sucked down into the convergence zone. If that is turns out to be true than the storm is likely forgettable.

SCHEDULE OF SPACE FLIGHTS

The next launch is scheduled for August 23rd for the Infrared Telescope Facility.
Posted by:Jul 10th 2003, 11:38:44 am
Fig Tree News Team8 AM EDT THU JUL 10 2003

...CLAUDETTE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN
SEA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO CABO CATOCHE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN
BRAC. THIS WARNING AND WATCH WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER
TODAY.

INTERESTS IN BELIZE AND THE REMAINDER OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CLAUDETTE.

AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.1 WEST OR ABOUT
335 MILES...540 KM...SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO.

CLAUDETTE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH
...28 KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES ALONG THE SOUTH
COASTS OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATER TODAY.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALLS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION
WITH CLAUDETTE. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS OUTER RAINBANDS OVER THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS AND PORTIONS OF CUBA AT THIS TIME.

REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...17.0 N... 83.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN



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Posted by:Jul 9th 2003, 09:02:46 pm
Fig Tree News Team8 PM EDT WED JUL 09 2003

...CLAUDETTE ON A WESTWARD HEADING...NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM
CHETUMAL TO CABO CATOCHE MEXICO.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN
BRAC.

AT 8 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR JAMAICA.

INTERESTS IN BELIZE AND THE REMAINDER OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CLAUDETTE.

AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 16.1
NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.2 WEST OR ABOUT 230 MILES...375 KM...
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN.

CLAUDETTE IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DO NOT APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR
STRENGTHENING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS
1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES ARE OCCURRING ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALLS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION
WITH CLAUDETTE. RAINBANDS ARE SPREADING OVER JAMAICA AND EASTERN
CUBA AT THIS TIME...AND THESE BANDS SHOULD REACH THE CAYMAN ISLANDS
TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...16.1 N...80.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 24 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA
Posted by:Jul 9th 2003, 12:12:35 pm
KimberlyBULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED JUL 09 2003

...CLAUDETTE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM
CHETUMAL TO CABO CATOCHE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND GRAND
CAYMAN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LITTLE CAYMAN
AND CAYMAN BRAC.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.6 WEST OR ABOUT
175 MILES...280 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.

CLAUDETTE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CURRENTLY
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES
...260 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF JAMAICA.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALLS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION
WITH CLAUDETTE. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT RAINBANDS SHOULD
BE SPREADING OVER JAMAICA IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...15.5 N... 77.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 24 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN

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