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Page 1 of 2Total of 24 messages
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Posted by:Sep 2nd 2003, 05:17:27 pm
chapelBULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE SEP 02 2003

...FABIAN BYPASSING THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 61.1 WEST OR ABOUT 210
MILES...340 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BARBUDA IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS.

FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH
...17 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. FABIAN IS CURRENTLY MAKING ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE COMMON IN MAJOR HURRICANES AND
THESE COULD OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 150 MILES...240 KM.

THE LATEST PRESSURE ESTIMATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL BE AFFECTING THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...20.7 N... 61.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...140 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 945 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN
Posted by:Sep 1st 2003, 05:10:17 pm
Fig Tree News TeamBULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON SEP 01 2003

...FABIAN STRENGTHENS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 57.8 WEST OR ABOUT 275
MILES...445 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF BARBUDA IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS.

FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE COMMON WITH MAJOR HURRICANES
AND COULD OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 942 MB...27.82 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDICTIONS WILL BE AFFECTING THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
RICO...OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...19.1 N... 57.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...145 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 942 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN/MAINELLI
Posted by:Sep 1st 2003, 03:38:00 am
Fig Tree News TeamBULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN AUG 31 2003

...CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE FABIAN STRENGTHENING WELL EAST OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE FABIAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.8 WEST OR ABOUT
460 MILES...740 KM...EAST OF BARBUDA IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS.

FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH
...17 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...FABIAN IS FORECAST TO PASS WELL
TO THE NORTH OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT FABIAN HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGTHEN
DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE NOW
REACHED 140 MPH...225 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATION
IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS ENROUTE AND WILL PROVIDE A
BETTER ESTIMATE OF THE EXACT STRENGTH OF FABIAN.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 125 MILES...205 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 940 MB...27.76 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...18.5 N... 54.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...140 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 940 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART
Posted by:Aug 31st 2003, 04:44:48 pm
Fig Tree News TeamBULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN AUG 31 2003

...FABIAN BECOMES A DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.0 WEST OR ABOUT 500 MILES...800
KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST THEREAFTER. ON THIS TRACK...FABIAN IS FORECAST TO
PASS WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS IN A DAY OR TWO.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT FABIAN HAS STRENGTHENED DURING THE
PAST FEW HOURS AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE REACHED 135
MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES FABIAN A DANGEROUS
CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. AN
AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WILL REACH FABIAN EARLY MONDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...18.2 N... 54.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 948 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA/MAINELLI
Posted by:Aug 31st 2003, 02:20:14 pm
Fig Tree News TeamHURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN AUG 31 2003

...FABIAN EXPECTED TO PASS WELL NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS IN A
DAY OR TWO...

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.2 WEST OR ABOUT 550 MILES...885
KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE WEST NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
ON THIS TRACK...FABIAN IS EXPECTED TO PASS WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WILL REACH FABIAN EARLY
MONDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...18.1 N... 53.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 952 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA
Posted by:Aug 30th 2003, 06:32:26 pm
Fig Tree News TeamBULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT AUG 30 2003

...FABIAN BECOMES THE FIRST MAJOR HURRICANE OF THE SEASON...

HIGH RESOLUTION VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT AT 5 PM
AST...2100Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.8 WEST OR ABOUT 775 MILES...1250 KM...
EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A GENERAL
WEST TO NORTHWEST TRACK IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES FABIAN A DANGEROUS CATEGORY
THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...17.4 N... 49.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA
Posted by:Aug 30th 2003, 02:40:54 pm
Fig Tree News TeamBULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2003

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN NEARING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...

..A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM
HIGH ISLAND TO CORPUS CHRISTI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...CDT...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION
WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.1 WEST OR
ABOUT 285 MILES...455 KM...EAST SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE TO THE TEXAS COAST IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE
DEPRESSION IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND WILL LIKELY BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS CURRENTLY
APPROACHING THE DEPRESSION.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE PATH OF THE
DEPRESSION. RAINBANDS ARE ALREADY SPREADING OVER THE UPPER TEXAS AND
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA COASTS.

REPEATING THE 1 PM CDT POSITION...25.6 N... 93.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 PM CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA
Posted by:Aug 29th 2003, 08:25:43 pm
Fig Tree News TeamBULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI AUG 29 2003

...FABIAN...IN THE DEEP TROPICS...BECOMES THE THIRD HURRICANE OF THE
SEASON...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.2 WEST OR ABOUT 1075
MILES...1735 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED.

FABIAN HAS BECOME A HURRICANE WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF NEAR
75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 85 MILES...140 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...15.7 N... 45.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA
Posted by:Aug 29th 2003, 12:11:22 pm
Fig Tree News TeamBULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI AUG 29 2003

...FABIAN MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC...STRENGTHENS
SLIGHTLY...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FABIAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.7 WEST OR ABOUT
1245 MILES...2000 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/HR. THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH SOME
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH... 95
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...15.5 N... 42.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER BEVEN
Posted by:Aug 22nd 2003, 02:05:45 pm
KimberlyBULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM AST FRI AUG 22 2003

...RECONNNAISSANCE PLANE IN THE AREA...HAVING DIFFICULTY FINDING A
CLOSED CIRCULATION...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR HAITI.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA
LATER TODAY. ALL INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION NINE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE
69.4 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES...210 KM...SOUTH OF SANTO DOMINGO IN
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY IN THE AREA WILL DETERMINE IF THE SYSTEM HAS
DEGENERATED INTO A TROPICAL WAVE.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER HAITI WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE LESS ORGANIZED...
THE DEPRESSION STILL HAS THE CHANCE TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
BEFORE LANDFALL.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH
OF THE DEPRESSION. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...PARTICULARLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.

REPEATING THE 2 PM AST POSITION...16.5 N... 69.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA/MOLLEDA
Posted by:Aug 22nd 2003, 01:29:28 pm
KimberlyBULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI AUG 22 2003

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED...PLANE WILL CHECK
THE CYCLONE THIS AFTERNOON...

AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS BEEN EXTENDED EASTWARD TO ISLA SAONA. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER.

AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
HAITI.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA
LATER TODAY. ALL INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.6 WEST OR ABOUT
155 MILES...250 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER HAITI WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE
LANDFALL. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE DEPRESSION THIS AFTERNOON.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH
OF THE DEPRESSION. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...PARTICULARLY IN MOUNTAINS AREAS.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...16.4 N... 68.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
AST.

FORECASTER AVILA
Posted by:Aug 21st 2003, 07:54:50 pm
KimberlyBULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM AST THU AUG 21 2003

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD...AND FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI INCLUDING PORT-AU-PRINCE.

ALL INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.

AT 8 PM AST...0000Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE
66.6 WEST OR ABOUT 260 MILES...385 KM...SOUTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO
RICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH
...22 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 8 PM AST POSITION...15.0 N... 66.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH
Posted by:Aug 21st 2003, 06:37:24 pm
KimberlyBULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU AUG 21 2003

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI.

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE BORDER WITH THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND PORT-AU-PRINCE...WESTWARD.

ALL INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.

SATELLITE AND SHIP REPORTS INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS
FORMED FROM THE TROPICAL WAVE IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. AT 5 PM
AST...2100Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.1 WEST OR
ABOUT 260 MILES...415 KM...SOUTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH
...22 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...14.7 N... 66.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
AST.

FORECASTER AVILA
Posted by:Aug 15th 2003, 01:14:16 pm
KimberlyErika in the Gulf, FYI:

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT FRI AUG 15 2003

...ERIKA A LITTLE STRONGER...RACING WESTWARD.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM BROWNSVILLE TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO PORT O'CONNOR.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FROM LA PESCA NORTHWARD TO THE U.S. BORDER.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH ... LONGITUDE 91.4 WEST OR ABOUT 375 MILES...600 KM...EAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

FORECASTER AVILA
Posted by:Aug 6th 2003, 05:42:41 pm
Fig Tree News TeamCurrent Forecast
8/6/2003
 
WEATHER SYNOPSIS AND CONDITIONS AROUND THE ABACOS

The ridge is essentially over Abaco today and will be stationary through tomorrow. It will move further S to be S of Nassau through Friday and Saturday then move a little N of Abaco on Sunday. This should insure good weather for us through the weekend although there is not much chance for rain during the period.

LOCAL WEATHER
For today and tonight, our winds are predicted by the TPC to be 10 to 15 knots out of the E to SE with 3 to 5 foot seas in the ocean. I don’t see it that way. I believe that the winds will be basically out of the S at 5 to 10 knots with seas 2 to 3 feet as they were last night. The TPC is also predicting widely scattered showers but I seriously doubt that we will see any on them. I will call them this morning to rectify our differences. With mostly clear skies and S’ly winds, I am looking for a high temperature of 91 degrees and a low tonight of 81 to 82. Today will be reasonably dry for us with the current humidity of 80% dropping into near 60 by noon. The barometer is 1016.4 mb or 30.01 in and steady.
 
For Thursday through Saturday, the winds will be light from the S with seas of 3 to 4 feet and probably increasing some on Friday while backing somewhat into the SE at times. I must note that the TPC is calling for the winds to be E to SE during this period and staying light. The remainder of the week is going to be pleasant with just the kind of weather you ordered.
 
Do not expect a lot of change on Sunday except the winds will become more SE’ly and maybe a scattered shower or so but not overly likely.

FLORIDA PASSAGE CONDITIONS
The ridge will stay in S FL through Saturday as the band of squalls fed by Cuba diminishes and moves N. This should reduce the t-storms between here and FL soon.
For today through Sunday, the winds will be S at 5 to 10 knots with seas 1 to 3 feet except for Thursday, when winds may increase to 10 to 15 knots but with seas staying 1 to 3 feet. It looks like a beautiful passage with only isolated showers and t-storms.

TRAVELING NORTH FORECAST
The weather is improving going up the US coast for now with winds S through FL at around 10 knots becoming a little more SW N of there and becoming 15 knots. Just now, these winds will continue all the way to PA but they can change so rapidly. You will need daily updates from the VHF weather stations along the coast.

TRAVELING SOUTH FORECAST
Conditions look good going S but the wind will back into the SE as you move S staying around 10 to 15 knots with seas probably 3 to 5 feet. This will continue well past Nassau.

TROPICAL WEATHER
A disorganized tropical wave is moving W’ward through the Leeward Islands. Shower and t-storm activity is minimal and disorganized. It will move S of Puerto Rico and only a low center located on its N’ern tip will affect the S’ern Bahamas. No new developments are expected in the next 24 hours.
Posted by:Jul 30th 2003, 03:49:00 pm
Fig Tree News TeamTROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT WED JUL 30 2003
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS LOCATED JUST TO THE EAST OF THE
BAHAMAS. THERE IS NO EVIDENCE OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION AND SURFACE
PRESSURES ARE NOT FALLING. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE
SLOW TO OCCUR.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...ABOUT 500
MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...AND IS MOVING
WESTWARD NEAR 20 MPH. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THIS SYSTEM
HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...AND CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE
FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

FORECASTER PASCH
Posted by:Jul 25th 2003, 03:29:34 pm
Fig Tree News TeamBULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT FRI JUL 25 2003

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA...

AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH
THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE DEPRESSION OVER THE COAST OF GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1017 MB...30.03 INCHES.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...30.2 N... 80.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1017 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA
Posted by:Jul 21st 2003, 02:26:37 pm
Fig Tree News TeamBuh-bye, No. 6 ...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM AST MON JUL 21 2003

...WEAK DEPRESSION APPROACHING CENTRAL LESSER ANTILLES...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR DOMINICA AND THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FOR ST. LUCIA ARE DISCONTINUED.

AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SIX WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE
60.O WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES...115 KM...SOUTHEAST OF MARTINIQUE.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR...
AND A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
INDICATES THAT THE DEPRESSION DOES NOT HAVE A WELL-DEFINED
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY BE DOWNGRADED TO
AN OPEN TROPICAL WAVE AT 5 PM AST.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1014 MB...29.95 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THIS SYSTEM.

REPEATING THE 2 PM AST POSITION...14.0 N... 60.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1014 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE
Posted by:Jul 21st 2003, 11:46:18 am
Fig Tree News TeamBULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON JUL 21 2003

...DEPRESSION APPROACHING CENTRAL LESSER ANTILLES...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DOMINICA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. LUCIA.

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE LATER TODAY FOR
MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE AND ADJACENT FRENCH ISLANDS...AND FOR
ANTIGUA...MONTSERRAT...ST KITTS AND NEVIS...AND FOR SABA AND
ST EUSTATIUS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE
58.8 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES...225 KM...EAST OF MARTINIQUE. THIS
POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 90 MILES...145 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF
BARBADOS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR...
AND A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL INVESTIGATE THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON TO DETERMINE IF THE DEPRESSION HAS STRENGTHENED
TO A TROPICAL STORM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

LARGE WAVES AND ABOVE NORMAL TIDES MAY OCCUR TO THE NORTH OF
THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT PASSES THROUGH THE LESSER
ANTILLES.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALLS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THIS SYSTEM.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...14.2 N... 58.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM AST.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE
Posted by:Jul 20th 2003, 08:48:03 pm
Fig Tree News TeamTROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM AST SUN JUL 20 2003

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONTINUING QUICKLY WESTWARD...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST LUCIA AND DOMINICA.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO LIKELY BY LATE MONDAY FOR
MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE AND ADJACENT FRENCH ISLANDS...AND FOR
ANTIGUA AND MONTSERRAT AND ST KITTS AND NEVIS.

AT 8 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.6 WEST OR ABOUT
400 MILES...645 KM...EAST OF BARBADOS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS
MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION NEAR THE LESSER
ANTILLES MONDAY AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST TONIGHT OR MONDAY...AND THE
DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THAT TIME.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 8 PM AST POSITION...13.5 N... 53.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.

FORECASTER BEVEN

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