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Kyle and Lili, per Barometer Bob
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Posted by:Sep 27th 2002, 12:34:56 pm


We have an easy forecast here today through the first of the week. It is going to be beautiful. We will be getting a little boost to the E winds on Monday and Tuesday resulting from strengthening expected of Lili during that period. I will cover both tropical disturbances later.

Today through Sunday, the wind will be out of the SE quadrant at 10 to 15 knots with seas 4 to 6 feet outside. Some enhanced E’ly swells will roll in on Saturday night adding another foot to the apparent seas. The satellite shows the skies to be clear all around us which should last for a few days. Our high temperatures should be around 85 degs. with the lows a little above 80. Rain is unlikely during the period. The barometer is 1012.5 mb. or 29.90 in. and steady. The tide was low around 6 am. It will be high at 12:28 and 3 feet above datum and low again at 6:58, 0.9 feet above datum.

On Monday and Tuesday, we will have moderate E winds, which technically is 16 to 21 knots. Seas will be building slightly.

The Fl coastal waters forecast is very much the same as we are expecting here. For today through tomorrow, winds should be SE 10 to 15 becoming E late Saturday with 2 to 4 foot seas. Saturday night calls for E winds at 10 knots with seas less than 2 feet. On Sunday the winds will pick up to 10 to 15 knots with 2 to 4 foot seas. On Monday and Tuesday, the E winds will increase to 15 to 20 knots and the seas will be up to 4 to 6 feet.

At 5 AM, Lili was near 16.1N 75.1W moving W-NW or 300 degs. at 10 mph with winds near 35 mph. This motion is expected to continue for the next 12 hours with a gradual decrease in forward speed. Lili is expected to meander between Jamaica and the Cayman Islands during the next 24 to 72 hours when a ridge will expand from the Bahamas across the SE US steering Lili toward the W to NW with a gradual increase in forward speed.

Kyle at 5 AM was near 27.0N 60.2W blowing 85 mph and drifting SW at 5 mph. This condition is likely to continue through Tuesday. He is essential at our latitude now so all the SW movement that we can get out of him is helpful. He still requires careful watching.

Courtesy of the Abaco Cruiser’s Net
On daily at 8:15 AM on VHF CH 68

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