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Off-Season Storm Activity Off Haiti; Southeastern Bahamas On Alert
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Page 1 of 1Total of 3 messages
Posted by:Dec 6th 2003, 02:09:42 pm
Fig Tree News TeamTROPICAL STORM ODETTE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 PM EST SAT DEC 06 2003

...ODETTE HESITATES...BUT EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER HISPANIOLA
ACCOMPANIED BY TORRENTIAL RAINS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD AND FOR HAITI.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

AT 1 PM EST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODETTE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST OR ABOUT
40 MILES...65 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE ISLA BEATA ON THE SOUTH
COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

FIXES FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT ODETTE HAS
NOT MOVED VERY MUCH DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...THE
CYCLONE SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 12
MPH...19 KM/HR...SOON WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODETTE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL
ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF HISPANIOLA BY LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY OVER
ELEVATED TERRAIN. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY BEFORE
LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS
994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS IN
THE MOUNTAINS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF ODETTE. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
PARTICULARLY IN THE MOUNTAINS OF HAITI. RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH
ODETTE ARE ALREADY SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA AND
PUERTO RICO.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2-4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EST POSITION...17.2 N... 72.0W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 PM EST.

FORECASTER AVILA
Posted by:Dec 4th 2003, 04:11:25 pm
KimberlyNWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM EST THU DEC 04 2003

...TROPICAL STORM ODETTE...THE 15TH NAMED STORM OF THE YEAR...FORMS
IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR JAMAICA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HAITI.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
WEST OF SANTO DOMINGO...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURK AND
CAICOS ISLANDS.

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE ISSUED FOR EASTERN CUBA
LATER TODAY.

SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE
CARIBBEAN SEA HAS STRENGTHENED AND IS NOW TROPICAL STORM
ODETTE...THE 15TH NAMED STORM OF THE YEAR AND THE FIRST STORM TO
FORM IN THE CARIBEAN SEA IN DECEMBER. AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE
CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODETTE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0
NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.6 WEST OR ABOUT 280 MILES...450 KM...
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.

ODETTE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A
GENERAL TRACK BETWEEN THE NORTHEAST AND NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING ODETTE OVER HAITI AND
THE WINDWARD PASSAGE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE STRONG WINDS OCCURRING
OVER THE BAHAMAS ARE DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF A STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND ODETTE.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS IN
THE MOUNTAINS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF ODETTE. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
PARTICULARLY IN THE MOUNTAINS OF HAITI.

REPEATING THE 4 PM EST POSITION...14.0 N... 75.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM
EST.

FORECASTER AVILA
Posted by:Dec 4th 2003, 11:32:12 am
Fig Tree News TeamTROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU DEC 04 2003

...OFF-SEASON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR HAITI.

AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST
OF SANTO DOMINGO. THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS WHICH INCLUDES THE
INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLANDS AND SAMANA CAY AND
FOR THE TURK AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE ISSUED FOR JAMAICA AND
EASTERN CUBA LATER TODAY.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.3 WEST OR ABOUT
320 MILES...515 KM...SOUTH OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH
...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CYCLONE WILL BE NEARING HAITI AND
THE WINDWARD PASSAGE ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. AN AIR
FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WILL CHECK THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF THE DEPRESSION.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...13.3 N... 76.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.

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